Combining Fibs with Trend Lines

Another good tool to combine with the Fibonacci tool is trend line analysis. After all, Fibonacci levels work best when the market is trending, so this makes a lot of sense!

Remember that whenever a pair is in a downtrend or uptrend, traders use Fibonacci retracement levels as a way to get in on the trend. So why not look for levels where Fib levels line up right smack with the trend?

Here's a 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY. As you can see, price has been respecting a short term rising trend line over the past couple of days.

 

You think to yourself, "Hmm, that's a sweet uptrend right there. I wanna buy AUD/JPY, even if it's just for a short term trade. I think I'll buy once the pair hits the trend line again."

Before you do that though, why don't you reach for your forex tool box and get that Fibonacci tool out? Let's see if we can get a more exact entry price. 

Here we plotted the Fibonacci retracement levels by using the Swing low at 82.61 and the Swing High at 83.84.

Notice how the 50.0% and 61.8% Fib levels are intersected by the rising trend line.

Could these levels serve as potential support levels? There's only one way to find out! 

Guess what? The 61.8% Fib level held, as price bounced there before heading back up. If you had set some orders at that level, you would have had a perfect entry!

A couple of hours after touching the trend line, price zoomed up like Astroboy on Red Bull, bursting through the Swing High.

Aren't you glad you've got this in your forex toolbox now?

 As you can see, it does pay to make use of the Fibonacci tool, even if you're planning to enter on a retest of the trend line. The combination of both a diagonal and a horizontal support or resistance level could mean that other traders are eying those levels as well.

Take note though, as with other drawing tools, drawing trend lines can also get pretty subjective.

You don't know exactly how other traders are drawing them, but you can count on one thing - that there's a trend!

If you see that a trend is developing, you should be looking for ways to go long to give you a better chance of a profitable trade. You can use the Fibonacci tool to help you find potential entry points.

Combining Fibs with Support and Resistance

Like we said in the previous section, using Fibonacci levels can be very subjective. However, there are ways that you can help tilt the odds in your favor.

While the Fibonacci tool is extremely useful, it shouldn't be used all by its lonesome self.

It's kinda like comparing it to NBA superstar Kobe Bryant. Kobe is one of the greatest basketball players of all time, but even he couldn't win those titles by himself. He needs some backup.

Similarly, the Fibonacci tool should be used in combination with other tools. In this section, let's take what you've learned so far and try to combine them to help us spot some sweet trade setups.

Are y'all ready? Let's get this pip show on the road!

One of the best ways to use the Fibonacci tool is to spot potential support and resistance levels and see if they line up with Fibonacci retracement levels.

If Fib levels are already support and resistance levels, and you combine them with other price areas that a lot of other traders are watching, then the chances of price bouncing from those areas are much higher.

Let's look at an example of how you can combine support and resistance levels with Fib levels. Below is a daily chart of USD/CHF.

As you can see, it's been on an uptrend recently. Look at all those green candles! You decide that you want to get in on this long USD/CHF bandwagon.

But the question is, "When do you enter?" You bust out the Fibonacci tool, using the low at 1.0132 on January 11 for the Swing Low and the high at 1.0899 on February 19 for the Swing High.

Now your chart looks pretty sweet with all those Fib levels.

Now that we have a framework to increase our probability of finding solid entry, we can answer the question "Where should you enter?"

You look back a little bit and you see that the 1.0510 price was good resistance level in the past and it just happens to line up with the 50.0% Fib retracement level. Now that it's broken, it could turn into support and be a good place to buy.

If you did set an order somewhere around the 50.0% Fib level, you'd be a pretty happy camper!

There would have been some pretty tense moments, especially on the second test of the support level on April 1. Price tried to pierce through the support level, but failed to close below it. Eventually, the pair broke past the Swing High and resumed its uptrend.

 You can do the same setup on a downtrend as well. The point is you should look for price levels that seem to have been areas of interest in the past. If you think about it, there's a higher chance that price will bounce from these levels.

Why?

First, as we discussed in Grade 1, previous support or resistance levels would be good areas to buy or sell because other traders will also be eyeing these levels like a hawk.

Second, since we know that a lot of traders also use the Fibonacci tool, they may be looking to jump in on these Fib levels themselves.

With traders looking at the same support and resistance levels, there's a good chance that there are a ton of orders at those price levels.

While there's no guarantee that price will bounce from those levels, at least you can be more confident about your trade. After all, there is strength in numbers!

Remember that trading is all about probabilities. If you stick to those higher probability trades, then there's a better chance of coming out ahead in the long run.